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Lula avança a 48% e Bolsonaro 27%, diz pesquisa Datafolha

Lula avança a 48% e Bolsonaro 27%, diz pesquisa Datafolha

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Uma pesquisa do instituto Datafolha, divulgada nesta quinta-feira (26/5), mostra o ex-presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) com 48% das intenções de voto na corrida pelo Palácio do Planalto. O presidente Jair Bolsonaro (PL) tem 27%. As eleições estão marcadas para outubro.

A seguir aparece o ex-ministro Ciro Gomes (PDT), com 7%. O deputado federal André Janones (Avante) e a senadora Simone Tebet (MDB) têm 2%. Os pré-candidatos Pablo Marçal (Pros) e Vera Lúcia (PSTU) ficam com 1%. Os demais não pontuaram.

A parcela dos que dizem que votarão em branco ou nulo representa 7% dos entrevistados. Os indecisos somam 4%.

De acordo com o Datafolha, Lula venceria no primeiro turno com 54% dos votos válidos. Bolsonaro ficaria com 30%.

A margem de erro do levantamento é de dois pontos percentuais para mais ou menos.

Foram ouvidas 2.556 pessoas face a face entre quarta-feira (25) e esta quinta (26). A pesquisa, encomendada e divulgada pelo jornal Folha de S.Paulo, foi registrada na Justiça Eleitoral com o número BR-05166/2022. O nível de confiança da pesquisa é 95%.

O Datafolha também testou outro cenário de primeiro turno — com a inclusão do ex-governador de São Paulo João Doria (PSDB), que desistiu da pré-candidatura nesta semana — e  três cenários de segundo turno. Confira abaixo.

Primeiro turno

Intenção de voto estimulada para presidente

Cenário I

  • Lula (PT) – 48%
  • Bolsonaro (PL) – 27%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT) – 7%
  • André Janones (Avante) – 2%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB) – 2%
  • Pablo Marçal (Pros) – 1%
  • Vera Lúcia (PSTU) – 1%
  • Felipe d’Avila (Novo) – 0
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB) – 0
  • Leonardo Péricles (UP) – 0
  • José Maria Eymael (DC) – 0
  • Luciano Bivar (União Brasil) – 0
  • General Santos Cruz (Podemos) – 0
  • Branco/Nulo – 7%
  • Não sabe/Não respondeu – 4%

Cenário II

  • Lula (PT) – 48%
  • Bolsonaro (PL) – 26%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT) – 7%
  • João Doria (PSDB) – 3%
  • André Janones (Avante) – 2%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB) – 2%
  • Pablo Marçal (Pros) – 1%
  • Vera Lúcia (PSTU) – 1%
  • Felipe d’Avila (Novo) – 0
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB) – 0
  • Leonardo Péricles (UP) – 0
  • José Maria Eymael (DC) – 0
  • Luciano Bivar (União Brasil) – 0
  • General Santos Cruz (Podemos) – 0
  • Branco/Nulo – 6%
  • Não sabe/Não respondeu – 3%

Segundo turno

Intenção de voto estimulada para presidente

Cenário I

  • Lula (PT) – 58%
  • Bolsonaro (PL) – 33%
  • Branco/Nulo – 8%
  • Não sabe/Não respondeu – 1%

Cenário II

  • Ciro Gomes (PDT) – 52%
  • Bolsonaro (PL) – 36%
  • Branco/Nulo – 10%
  • Não sabe/Não respondeu – 2%

Cenário III

  • Lula (PT) – 55%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT) – 29%
  • Branco/Nulo – 15%
  • Não sabe/Não respondeu – 1%

(Fonte: CNN Brasil).

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